Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta
Denis Shapovalov
CAN
l
w
l
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
2
Win
7
Played
5
Win
26
Age
34
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
23
C. Rank
89
10
Best Rank
10
5
Total Titles
7
2
YTD Titles
0
$9.8M
Career Money
$10.7M
Left-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed
Pablo Carreno-Busta
ESP
w
l
w
w
w
w
l
l
w
l
2
Win
7
Played
5
Win
26
Age
34
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
23
C. Rank
89
10
Best Rank
10
5
Total Titles
7
2
YTD Titles
0
$9.8M
Career Money
$10.7M
Left-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed
Head-to-head: Shapovalov 2 - 5 Carreno-Busta
They have played 19 sets in total, with Denis Shapovalov winning 7 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 12. The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Denis Shapovalov was at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris, 02-11-2022, Round: R2, Surface: I.hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-6(2) 2-6 6-4.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Shapovalov | 2 |
| Carreno-Busta | 5 |
Last 7 H2H Matches:
(R2) Rolex Paris Masters - Paris(11-02-22)
Pablo Carreno-Busta
7
2
6
Denis Shapovalov
6
6
4
(F) ATP Cup - Sydney(01-09-22)
Denis Shapovalov
6
6
Pablo Carreno-Busta
4
3
(QF) U.S. Open - New York(09-08-20)
Pablo Carreno-Busta
3
7
7
0
6
Denis Shapovalov
6
6
6
6
3
D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $9,838,100 | Career Prize Money | $10,687,070 |
| 59.23% (337-232) | Career Total W/L | 63.25% (611-355) |
| 1 | Clay | 0 |
| 1 | Hard | 3 |
| 0 | Indoor | 2 |
| 10 | Titles | 33 |
| 2 | Total H2H Matches | 5 |
| 54.17% (26-22) | YTD Win/Loss | 37.50% (9-15) |
| 2 | YTD Titles | 0 |
D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Denis Shapovalov has won 42.84% of points on their second serve, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 43.53%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Denis Shapovalov, in recent form, has won 46.42% of their opponent's second serve points, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 47.32%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.63% and 27.14% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Denis Shapovalov has saved 51.16% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Pablo Carreno-Busta has saved 54.66% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Denis Shapovalov has won 54.17% of matches played (W/L 26/22), with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 59.42% (W/L 41/28) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Denis Shapovalov has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 86/53), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 25/27). Pablo Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 355/186), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14).
- Player level: In the last year, Denis Shapovalov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/9), where as Pablo Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 75.68% of matches (W/L 28/9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Denis Shapovalov winning 2 times and Pablo Carreno-Busta being victorious 5 times. They have played 19 sets in total, with Denis Shapovalov winning 7 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 12.
- The last match between Denis Shapovalov and Pablo Carreno-Busta was at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris, 02-11-2022, Round: R2, Surface: I.hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-6(2) 2-6 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:6:34.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Denis Shapovalov has played against opponents with an average rank of 94.06 while Pablo Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 187.64.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Denis Shapovalov has won 62% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Denis Shapovalov has converted 37.40% of breakpoint opportunities, and Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 32.90% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2 | H2H Matches Won | 5 |
| 7 | Sets Won | 12 |
| 101 | Games Won | 100 |
| 79 | Aces (Total) | 15 |
| 30 | Total Double Faults | 11 |
| 2:6:34 | Average Match Time | 2:6:34 |
| 59% (377/638) | 1st Serve % | 68% (405/594) |
| 77% (292/377) | 1st Serve Win % | 72% (290/405) |
| 51% (132/261) | 2nd Serve Win % | 59% (111/189) |
| 33% (18/54) | Break Pts Won % | 28% (15/54) |
| 32% (193/594) | Return Points Win % | 34% (214/638) |
| 40% (2/5) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 60% (3/5) |
| 0% (0/2) | Best‑of‑5 Win % | 100% (2/2) |
| 0% (0/2) | Deciding Set Win % | 100% (2/2) |
| 67% (2/3) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (4/4) |
| 33% (1/3) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/4) |
| 0% (0/4) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 33% (1/3) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Shapovalov 49%, Carreno-Busta 52%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Shapovalov 51%, Carreno-Busta 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Shapovalov 60%, Carreno-Busta 62%.
D. Shapovalov Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
R1  Joao FonsecaJ. Fonseca | L | 5-7 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel - 20-10-2025 | ||||
QF Joao FonsecaJ. Fonseca | L | 3-6 6-3 4-1 ret. | ||
R2  Valentin RoyerV. Royer | W | 7-6(3) 6-2 | ||
R1  Marcos GironM. Giron | W | 6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4) | ||
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm - 13-10-2025 | ||||
SF  Casper RuudC. Ruud | L | 6-3 6-4 | ||
P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Cup, World Group, F, ITA-ESP 2-0 - 17-11-2025 | ||||
Rubber 1  Matteo BerrettiniM. Berrettini | L | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Davis Cup, World Group, SF, ESP-GER 2-1 - 17-11-2025 | ||||
Rubber 1  Jan-Lennard StruffJ. Struff | W | 6-4 7-6(6) | ||
| Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ESP-CZE 2-1 - 17-11-2025 | ||||
Rubber 1  Jakub MensikJ. Mensik | L | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Olbia Challenger - 13-10-2025 | ||||
F Luca Van AsscheL. Van | L | 7-6(5) 6-7(1) 6-2 | ||
SF Martin LandaluceM. Landaluce | W | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | ||
D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 59.23% (337/232) | YTD Win/Loss | 63.25% (611/355) |
| 56.43% (821/634) | Sets Win/Loss | 60.13% (1433/950) |
| 52.62% (7561/6808) | Games Win/Loss | 53.49% (12166/10580) |
| 59.51% (147/100) | Hard Win/Loss | 65.35% (198/105) |
| 60.31% (79/52) | Clay Win/Loss | 65.62% (355/186) |
| 61.87% (86/53) | Indoor Hard W/L | 50.98% (52/50) |
| 48.08% (25/27) | Grass Win/Loss | 30.00% (6/14) |
| 0.59 | Aces Per Game | 0.26 |
| 4171 | Aces Total | 2864 |
| 0.41 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.12 |
| 2887 | Total Double Faults | 1384 |
| 1:42:18 | Average Match Time | 1:21:15 |
| 309.77 | Average Opponent Rank | 486.92 |
| 59% (24730/42109) | 1st Serve % | 64% (35944/56288) |
| 76% (18675/24730) | 1st Serve Win % | 70% (25056/35944) |
| 52% (8961/17378) | 2nd Serve Win % | 52% (10546/20339) |
| 39% (1393/3558) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 42% (2307/5554) |
| 36% (15547/42704) | Return Points Win % | 39% (22215/56929) |
| 60.98% (50/32) | Slam W/L | 59.41% (60/41) |
| 53.78% (64/55) | Masters W/L | 52.59% (71/64) |
| 54.29% (19/16) | Cups W/L | 52.17% (12/11) |
| 54.68% (111/92) | Main Tour W/L | 56.38% (168/130) |
| 0% (0/0) | Tour Finals W/L | 0.00% (0/2) |
| 60.00% (33/22) | Challenger W/L | 70.56% (151/63) |
| 80.00% (60/15) | Futures W/L | 77.01% (144/43) |
| 59% (280/474) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 64% (542/850) |
| 58% (52/89) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 59% (61/104) |
| 50% (130/261) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 57% (208/368) |
| 57% (105/185) | Deciding Set Win % | 55% (170/308) |
| 86% (321/276) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 86% (596/515) |
| 14% (321/45) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 13% (596/79) |
| 24% (246/58) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 26% (368/94) |
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