Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta

Denis Shapovalov

CAN

2

Win

Played

5

Win

Age

6'1" (185 cm)

Height

6'2" (188 cm)

C. Rank

123

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$9.7M

Career Money

$10.7M

Left-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Pablo Carreno-Busta

ESP

2

Win

Played

5

Win

Age

6'1" (185 cm)

Height

6'2" (188 cm)

C. Rank

123

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$9.7M

Career Money

$10.7M

Left-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-To-Head: Shapovalov 2 - 5 Carreno-Busta

They have played 19 sets in total, with Denis Shapovalov winning 7 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 12. The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Denis Shapovalov was at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris, 02-11-2022, Round: R2, Surface: I.hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-6(2) 2-6 6-4.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Shapovalov	2
Carreno-Busta	5

Last H2H Matches:

(R2) Rolex Paris Masters - Paris(11-02-22)

Stats

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Denis Shapovalov

(F) ATP Cup - Sydney(01-09-22)

Stats

Denis Shapovalov

Pablo Carreno-Busta

(QF) U.S. Open - New York(09-08-20)

Stats

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Denis Shapovalov

D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Profile

D. Shapovalov	Stats	P. Carreno-Busta
$9,740,830	Career Prize Money	$10,687,070
59.29% (332-228)	Career Total W/L	63.13% (601-351)
1	Clay	0
1	Hard	3
0	Indoor	2
10	Titles	32
2	Total H2H Matches	5
53.85% (21-18)	YTD Win/Loss	38.10% (8-13)
2	YTD Titles	0

D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta Match Preview

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Denis Shapovalov has won 44.86% of points on their second serve, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 43.77%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Denis Shapovalov, in recent form, has won 43.93% of their opponent's second serve points, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 45.69%. The same stats for first serve returns are 26.40% and 26.37% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Denis Shapovalov has saved 47.62% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Pablo Carreno-Busta has saved 56.30% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Denis Shapovalov has won 60.38% of matches played (W/L 32/ 21), with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 54.24% (W/L 32/ 27) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Denis Shapovalov has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 82/ 50), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 25/ 27). Pablo Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 355/ 186), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/ 14).
Player level: In the last year, Denis Shapovalov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 74.19% of matches (W/L 23/ 8), where as Pablo Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 71.43% of matches (W/L 20/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Denis Shapovalov winning 2 times and Pablo Carreno-Busta being victorious 5 times. They have played 19 sets in total, with Denis Shapovalov winning 7 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 12. The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Denis Shapovalov was at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris, 02-11-2022, Round: R2, Surface: I.hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-6(2) 2-6 6-4.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:6:34.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Denis Shapovalov has played against opponents with an average rank of 84.25 while Pablo Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 172.42.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Denis Shapovalov has won 54% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 35% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Denis Shapovalov has converted 33.88% of breakpoint opportunities, and Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 33.33% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

D. Shapovalov	Stats	P. Carreno-Busta
2	H2H Matches Won	5
7	Sets Won	12
101	Games Won	100
79	Aces (Total)	15
30	Total Double Faults	11
2:6:34	Avg. Match Time	2:6:34
59% (377/638)	1st Serve %	68% (405/594)
77% (292/377)	1st Serve Win %	72% (290/405)
51% (132/261)	2nd Serve Win %	59% (111/189)
33% (18/54)	Break Pts Won %	28% (15/54)
32% (193/594)	Return Pts Won %	34% (214/638)
40% (2/5)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	60% (3/5)
0% (0/2)	Best‑of‑5 Win %	100% (2/2)
0% (0/2)	Deciding Set Win %	100% (2/2)
67% (2/3)	1st Set Won → Match Won	100% (4/4)
33% (1/3)	1st Set Won → Match Lost	0% (0/4)
0% (0/4)	1st Set Lost → Match Won	33% (1/3)

Recent Performance Stats

D. Shapovalov Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo - 22-09-2025
R1 Daniel AltmaierD. Altmaier	L	7-5 6-3	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R3 Jannik SinnerJ. Sinner	L	5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3	Stats
R2 Valentin RoyerV. Royer	W	7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3	Stats
R1 Marton FucsovicsM. Fucsovics	W	6-4 6-4 6-0	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R2 Luca NardiL. Nardi	L	6-7(5) 6-3 6-4	Stats

View All

P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Bad Waltersdorf Challenger - 15-09-2025
QF Vit KoprivaV. Kopriva	L	6-2 0-6 6-1	Stats
R2 Sebastian SorgerS. Sorger	W	7-5 6-4	Stats
R1 Lukas NeumayerL. Neumayer	W	7-5 4-6 6-3	Stats
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, ESP-DEN 3-2 - 08-09-2025
Rubber 5 Elmer MollerE. Moller	W	6-2 6-3	Stats
Rubber 1 Holger RuneH. Rune	L	7-5 6-3	Stats

View All

D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

D. Shapovalov	Stats	P. Carreno-Busta
59.29% (332/228)	YTD Win/Loss	63.13% (601/351)
56.49% (809/623)	Sets Win/Loss	60.12% (1411/936)
52.60% (7443/6706)	Games Win/Loss	53.47% (11974/10419)
59.59% (146/99)	Hard Win/Loss	64.51% (189/104)
60.31% (79/52)	Clay Win/Loss	65.62% (355/186)
62.12% (82/50)	Indoor Hard W/L	52.04% (51/47)
48.08% (25/27)	Grass Win/Loss	30.00% (6/14)
0.59	Aces Per Game	0.26
4096	Aces Total	2821
0.41	Double Faults Per Game	0.13
2837	Total Double Faults	1371
1:42:12	Average Match Time	1:21:2
306.86	Average Opponent Rank	483
59% (24315/41436)	1st Serve %	64% (35310/55369)
76% (18377/24315)	1st Serve Win %	70% (24608/35310)
52% (8839/17120)	2nd Serve Win %	52% (10395/20054)
39% (1360/3479)	Break Points Won % (Total)	41% (2264/5464)
36% (15265/42011)	Return Points Win %	39% (21844/56014)
60.98% (50/32)	Slam W/L	59.41% (60/41)
54.31% (63/53)	Masters W/L	52.59% (71/64)
54.29% (19/16)	Cups W/L	55.00% (11/9)
54.31% (107/90)	Main Tour W/L	56.38% (168/130)
0% (0/0)	Tour Finals W/L	0.00% (0/2)
60.00% (33/22)	Challenger W/L	69.95% (142/61)
80.00% (60/15)	Futures W/L	77.01% (144/43)
59% (275/466)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	64% (532/836)
59% (52/88)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	59% (61/104)
50% (128/257)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	57% (204/361)
56% (102/181)	Deciding Set Win %	55% (164/300)
86% (315/272)	1st Set Won, Won Match	86% (587/507)
14% (315/43)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	13% (587/78)
23% (243/57)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	25% (363/92)