Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta

Denis Shapovalov

CAN

2

Win

Played

5

Win

Age

6'1" (185 cm)

Height

6'2" (188 cm)

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$9.8M

Career Money

$10.7M

Left-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Pablo Carreno-Busta

ESP

2

Win

Played

5

Win

Age

6'1" (185 cm)

Height

6'2" (188 cm)

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$9.8M

Career Money

$10.7M

Left-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Shapovalov 2 - 5 Carreno-Busta

They have played 19 sets in total, with Denis Shapovalov winning 7 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 12. The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Denis Shapovalov was at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris, 02-11-2022, Round: R2, Surface: I.hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-6(2) 2-6 6-4.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Shapovalov	2
Carreno-Busta	5

Last 7 H2H Matches:

(R2) Rolex Paris Masters - Paris(11-02-22)

Stats

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Denis Shapovalov

(F) ATP Cup - Sydney(01-09-22)

Stats

Denis Shapovalov

Pablo Carreno-Busta

(QF) U.S. Open - New York(09-08-20)

Stats

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Denis Shapovalov

D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Profile

D. Shapovalov	Stats	P. Carreno-Busta
$9,838,100	Career Prize Money	$10,687,070
59.23% (337-232)	Career Total W/L	63.34% (610-353)
1	Clay	0
1	Hard	3
0	Indoor	2
10	Titles	33
2	Total H2H Matches	5
54.17% (26-22)	YTD Win/Loss	38.10% (8-13)
2	YTD Titles	0

D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Denis Shapovalov has won 42.86% of points on their second serve, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 43.29%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Denis Shapovalov, in recent form, has won 46.95% of their opponent's second serve points, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 46.78%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.74% and 26.94% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Denis Shapovalov has saved 51.04% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Pablo Carreno-Busta has saved 54.48% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Denis Shapovalov has won 53.06% of matches played (W/L 26/23), with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 60.29% (W/L 41/27) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Denis Shapovalov has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 86/53), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 25/27). Pablo Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 355/186), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14).
Player level: In the last year, Denis Shapovalov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/9), where as Pablo Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 74.36% of matches (W/L 29/10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Denis Shapovalov winning 2 times and Pablo Carreno-Busta being victorious 5 times. They have played 19 sets in total, with Denis Shapovalov winning 7 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 12.
The last match between Denis Shapovalov and Pablo Carreno-Busta was at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris, 02-11-2022, Round: R2, Surface: I.hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-6(2) 2-6 6-4.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:6:34.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Denis Shapovalov has played against opponents with an average rank of 90.47 while Pablo Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 189.03.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Denis Shapovalov has won 57% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 48% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Denis Shapovalov has converted 37.75% of breakpoint opportunities, and Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 32.72% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

D. Shapovalov	Stats	P. Carreno-Busta
2	H2H Matches Won	5
7	Sets Won	12
101	Games Won	100
79	Aces (Total)	15
30	Total Double Faults	11
2:6:34	Average Match Time	2:6:34
59% (377/638)	1st Serve %	68% (405/594)
77% (292/377)	1st Serve Win %	72% (290/405)
51% (132/261)	2nd Serve Win %	59% (111/189)
33% (18/54)	Break Pts Won %	28% (15/54)
32% (193/594)	Return Points Win %	34% (214/638)
40% (2/5)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	60% (3/5)
0% (0/2)	Best‑of‑5 Win %	100% (2/2)
0% (0/2)	Deciding Set Win %	100% (2/2)
67% (2/3)	1st Set Won, Won Match	100% (4/4)
33% (1/3)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/4)
0% (0/4)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	33% (1/3)

Recent Performance Stats

D. Shapovalov Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
R1 Joao FonsecaJ. Fonseca	L	5-7 6-4 6-3	Stats
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel - 20-10-2025
QF Joao FonsecaJ. Fonseca	L	3-6 6-3 4-1 ret.	Stats
R2 Valentin RoyerV. Royer	W	7-6(3) 6-2	Stats
R1 Marcos GironM. Giron	W	6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4)	Stats
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm - 13-10-2025
SF Casper RuudC. Ruud	L	6-3 6-4	Stats

View All

P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Olbia Challenger - 13-10-2025
F Luca Van AsscheL. Van	L	7-6(5) 6-7(1) 6-2	Stats
SF Martin LandaluceM. Landaluce	W	6-2 3-6 6-3	Stats
QF Alejandro TabiloA. Tabilo	W	6-3 1-6 7-6(3)	Stats
R1 Pierluigi BasileP. Basile	W	6-2 6-7(5) 6-3	Stats
R2 Luka PavlovicL. Pavlovic	W	3-6 6-1 6-2	Stats

View All

D. Shapovalov vs P. Carreno-Busta Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

D. Shapovalov	Stats	P. Carreno-Busta
59.23% (337/232)	YTD Win/Loss	63.34% (610/353)
56.43% (821/634)	Sets Win/Loss	60.20% (1431/946)
52.62% (7561/6808)	Games Win/Loss	53.51% (12137/10545)
59.51% (147/100)	Hard Win/Loss	65.35% (198/105)
60.31% (79/52)	Clay Win/Loss	65.62% (355/186)
61.87% (86/53)	Indoor Hard W/L	51.52% (51/48)
48.08% (25/27)	Grass Win/Loss	30.00% (6/14)
0.59	Aces Per Game	0.26
4171	Aces Total	2864
0.41	Double Faults Per Game	0.12
2887	Total Double Faults	1384
1:42:18	Average Match Time	1:21:30
308.78	Average Opponent Rank	486
59% (24730/42109)	1st Serve %	64% (35944/56288)
76% (18675/24730)	1st Serve Win %	70% (25056/35944)
52% (8961/17378)	2nd Serve Win %	52% (10546/20339)
39% (1393/3558)	Break Points Won % (Total)	42% (2307/5554)
36% (15547/42704)	Return Points Win %	39% (22215/56929)
60.98% (50/32)	Slam W/L	59.41% (60/41)
53.78% (64/55)	Masters W/L	52.59% (71/64)
54.29% (19/16)	Cups W/L	55.00% (11/9)
54.68% (111/92)	Main Tour W/L	56.38% (168/130)
0% (0/0)	Tour Finals W/L	0.00% (0/2)
60.00% (33/22)	Challenger W/L	70.56% (151/63)
80.00% (60/15)	Futures W/L	77.01% (144/43)
59% (280/474)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	64% (541/847)
58% (52/89)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	59% (61/104)
50% (130/261)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	56% (207/367)
57% (105/185)	Deciding Set Win %	55% (170/308)
86% (321/276)	1st Set Won, Won Match	86% (595/514)
14% (321/45)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	13% (595/79)
24% (246/58)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	26% (366/94)